Friday, August 19, 2011

SP500 Recessions

Stock High Date Stock High Months (Recession Start) Recession Start % Months (High to Low) Stock Low % Months Recession End Recession End % Notes
1/1/1953 26.66 6.00 -8.4 8.00 -14.8 16.00 7.5 Post Korean War inflationary period
Rapid decrease on defense spending
High interest rates
7/15/1957 49.13 0.00 -4.5 3.00 -20.7 8.00 -13.1 Decrease in government spending
Large production decline
Increase in unemployment
8/3/1959 60.71 7.00 -7.1 14.00 -14.0 17.00 1.3 Steel strike: industrial production fall-off
Decrease in foreign dependence on US goods
High unemployment
12/2/1968 109.37 11.00 -17.4 17.00 -37.3 22.00 -24.4 High inflation
Decline in government spending
Oppressive interest rates and scarcity of credit
1/8/1973 121.74 9.00 -13.5 20.00 -49.9 25.00 -30.8 Oil Crisis:  A quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC
Watergate scandal
Vietnam War
10/1/1979 112.16 3.00 -2.0 5.00 -16.0 9.00 5.1 1979 energy crisis
Tight monetary policy in the United States to control inflation
11/24/1980 141.96 7.00 -8.6 20.00 -28.0 23.00 0.1 1979 energy crisis
Tight monetary policy in the United States to control inflation
7/7/1990 369.68 0.00 -0.6 3.00 -20.3 7.00 1.4 Industrial production and manufacturing trade sales decreased
Savings and loan scandals
3/20/2000 1552.87 11.00 -20.6 17.00 -39.2 20.00 -27.9 The collase of the dot com bubble
Sept 11 attacks
Corporate accounting scandals
1/7/2002 1176.97 4.00 -9.3 9.00 -34.7 18.00 -17.0 The collapse of the dotcom bubble
10/11/2007 1576.09 6.00 -10.0 16.00 -57.7 19.00 -40.2 Liquidity shortfall in US banking system
Collapse of housing market and their MBS

Averages 5.82 -9.29 12.00 -30.23 16.73 -12.54

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